Елена Самтынова
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Решение о снижении ключевой ставки на 25 б.п. – с 4,50% до 4,25% годовых принято на сегодняшнем заседании Совета директоров Банка России, о чем сообщила пресс-служба регулятора. Напомним, показатель ключевой ставки в текущем году снижался, начиная с февраля (с 10 февраля снижена с 6,25% до 6,00%, с 27 апреля – до 5,50%, с 22 июня – до 4,50%).
«Дезинфляционные факторы продолжают оказывать значительное влияние на инфляцию. После снижения в мае – июне инфляционные ожидания населения и бизнеса в целом стабилизировались. Хотя смягчение ограничительных мер способствует оживлению экономической активности, восстановление мировой и российской экономики будет постепенным. В этих условиях сохраняется риск отклонения инфляции вниз от 4% в 2021 году», – отмечается в сообщении.
Регулятор прогнозирует, что с учетом проводимой денежно-кредитной политики годовая инфляция составит 3,7% – 4,2% в 2020 году, 3,5% – 4,0% в 2021 году и будет находиться вблизи 4% в дальнейшем.
Сообщается, что Банк России будет принимать решения по ключевой ставке с учетом фактической и ожидаемой динамики инфляции относительно цели, развития экономики на прогнозном горизонте, а также оценивая риски со стороны внутренних и внешних условий и реакции на них финансовых рынков.
Следующее заседание Совета директоров Банка России по данному вопросу состоится 18 сентября 2020 года.
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